ILHM Luxury Housing Weekly Report

Institute for Luxury Home Marketing - Weekly Housing Report - Sept. 26, 2016

Monday September 26, 2016 

THIS WEEK

The ILHM National Report this week looked at 25161 luxury homes on the market. The ILHM Luxury Composite Price this week is $1,504,523. These homes have been on the market for an average of 157 days.

The Market Action Index measures available supply relative to the current level of demand. Index value above 30 indicates conditions favor the seller. See the section below for full details.


PRICE 
Luxury home prices across the ILHM National sample have stayed relatively stable in recent weeks. This week median price is $1,504,523.

PRICE PER SQUARE FOOT 
Price per square foot gives us a view to changes in how luxury homes are valued as well as how they're being constructed. Currently median price per square foot in the luxury homes is $400.



SUPPLY AND DEMAND 
Residential prices are a function of supply and demand, and market conditions can be characterized by analyzing those factors. Watch this index for sustained trends and an early view on coming price changes.

The ILHM National market is currently in the Buyer's Market zone (below 30), though not strongly so. The Market Action Index stands this week at 28 so luxury buyers should expect to find reasonable levels of selection.

INVENTORY 
This chart illustrates the total number of homes in the ILHM sample each week. These are homes on the market for at least $500,000 in the top 10 zip codes for 31 major metro markets around the county.

DAYS ON MARKET (DOM) 
The properties have been on the market for an average of 150 days.





LUXURY BY REGION 
A look at the local luxury markets around the country.







Mortgage Standards Easing TOO MUCH? NO!!


There is no doubt that getting a mortgage is easier today than it was right after the housing crash a decade ago. However, the easing of credit availability has led to some questioning of whether or not we are headed for another housing crisis.

Let’s put everything into the proper perspective.

Mortgage Credit Availability Over the Last Three Years

Getting a home mortgage has definitely gotten easier over the last three years as evidenced by the Mortgage Credit Availability Index, issued by the Mortgage Bankers Association, in the following graph (the higher the index, the easier it is to get a mortgage):


However, if we look further back at the index we see quite a different story.

Mortgage Credit Availability Today Compared to 2006

The graph below shows the index going back to 2004, and the first graph we showed you above is represented by the small, orange, triangular section all the way in the lower-right corner.

As this visual easily illustrates, today’s index is nowhere near the levels it shot up to in 2006.

Bottom Line

Mortgage credit is definitely easing. However, we are not coming close to the lax standards that caused the housing crisis of last decade.




ILHM Luxury Housing Weekly Report

As of Monday September 19, 2016

THIS WEEK

The ILHM National Report this week looked at 24979 luxury homes on the market. The ILHM Luxury Composite Price this week is $1,501,541. These homes have been on the market for an average of 157 days.

The Market Action Index measures available supply relative to the current level of demand. Index value above 30 indicates conditions favor the seller. See the section below for full details.

PRICE
Luxury home prices across the ILHM National sample have stayed relatively stable in recent weeks. This week median price is $1,501,541.

PRICE PER SQUARE FOOT
Price per square foot gives us a view to changes in how luxury homes are valued as well as how they're being constructed. Currently median price per square foot in the luxury homes is $399.


SUPPLY AND DEMAND
Residential prices are a function of supply and demand, and market conditions can be characterized by analyzing those factors. Watch this index for sustained trends and an early view on coming price changes.

The ILHM National market is currently in the Buyer's Market zone (below 30), though not strongly so. The Market Action Index stands this week at 28 so luxury buyers should expect to find reasonable levels of selection.


INVENTORY
This chart illustrates the total number of homes in the ILHM sample each week. These are homes on the market for at least $500,000 in the top 10 zip codes for 31 major metro markets around the county.


DAYS ON MARKET (DOM)
The properties have been on the market for an average of 149 days.



LUXURY BY REGION
A look at the local luxury markets around the country.




Interest Rates Remain at Historic Lows… But for How Long?


The interest rate you pay on your home mortgage has a direct impact on your monthly payment; The higher the rate, the greater your payment will be. That is why it is important to look at where the experts believe rates are headed when deciding to buy now or wait until next year.
The 30-year fixed mortgage rate has fallen half a percentage point since the beginning of the year and has remained at or below 3.5% for the last 11 weeks according to Freddie Mac’s Primary Mortgage Market Survey.

The chart below shows how far rates have fallen this year (on the left), and uses an average of the projections from Freddie Mac, Fannie Mae, the Mortgage Bankers Association and National Association of Realtors (on the right). As you can see, interest rates are projected to increase steadily over the course of the next 12 months.


How Will This Impact Your Mortgage Payment?
Depending on the amount of the loan that you secure, a half of a percent (.5%) increase in interest rate can increase your monthly mortgage payment significantly.
According to CoreLogic’s latest Home Price Index, national home prices have appreciated 6.0% over the last year and are predicted to be 5.4% higher next year.

Bottom Line
Even a small increase in interest rate can impact your family’s wealth. Let’s get together to evaluate your ability to purchase your dream home.
If both the predictions of home prices and interest rate increases become a reality, families will wind up paying considerably more for their next home.


ILHM Luxury Housing Weekly Report

As of Monday September 12, 2016

THIS WEEK

The ILHM National Report this week looked at 24713 luxury homes on the market. The ILHM Luxury Composite Price this week is $1,501,994. These homes have been on the market for an average of 157 days.

The Market Action Index measures available supply relative to the current level of demand. Index value above 30 indicates conditions favor the seller. See the section below for full details.

PRICE
Luxury home prices across the ILHM National sample have stayed relatively stable in recent weeks. This week median price is $1,501,994.

PRICE PER SQUARE FOOT
Price per square foot gives us a view to changes in how luxury homes are valued as well as how they're being constructed. Currently median price per square foot in the luxury homes is $398.


SUPPLY AND DEMAND
Residential prices are a function of supply and demand, and market conditions can be characterized by analyzing those factors. Watch this index for sustained trends and an early view on coming price changes.

The ILHM National market is currently in the Buyer's Market zone (below 30), though not strongly so. The Market Action Index stands this week at 29 so luxury buyers should expect to find reasonable levels of selection.


INVENTORY
This chart illustrates the total number of homes in the ILHM sample each week. These are homes on the market for at least $500,000 in the top 10 zip codes for 31 major metro markets around the county.


DAYS ON MARKET (DOM)
The properties have been on themarket for an average of 148 days.



LUXURY BY REGION
A look at the local luxury markets around the country.




Is the Current Pace of Home Sales Sustainable?



There are some experts questioning whether the current pace of residential home sales is sustainable. Are too many people buying homes like in 2004-2006? Are we headed for another housing crisis? Actually, if we look closely at the numbers, we can see that we are looking at a very healthy real estate market.


Why the concern?

Some are looking at the last three years of home sales and comparing them to the three years just prior to the housing bubble. Looking at the graph below, we can understand that thinking.


However, if we go further back in history, we can see the real picture. After taking out the “boom & bust” years, the pace of sales is growing at a quite natural pace.
And new home sales are way below historic numbers. Trulia’s Chief Economist Ralph McLaughlin explains:

“Adjusted for population, [new home sales] are at about 63% of their fifty-year average level—way better than 2011, but nowhere near heated.”


Bottom LineThe current pace of residential home sales definitely seems sustainable.


MONTHLY MARKET STATISTICS REPORT



ILHM Luxury Housing Weekly Report

Monday September 5, 2016

THIS WEEK

The ILHM National Report this week looked at 25110 luxury homes on the market. The ILHM Luxury Composite Price this week is $1,502,995. These homes have been on the market for an average of 155 days.

The Market Action Index measures available supply relative to the current level of demand. Index value above 30 indicates conditions favor the seller. See the section below for full details.

PRICE
Luxury home prices across the ILHM National sample have stayed relatively stable in recent weeks. This week median price is $1,502,995.

PRICE PER SQUARE FOOT
Price per square foot gives us a view to changes in how luxury homes are valued as well as how they're being constructed. Currently median price per square foot in the luxury homes is $397.


SUPPLY AND DEMAND
Residential prices are a function ofsupply and demand, and market conditions can be characterized by analyzing those factors. Watch this index for sustained trends and an early view on coming price changes.

The ILHM National market is currently in the Buyer's Market zone (below 30), though not strongly so. The Market Action Index stands this week at 29 so luxury buyers should expect to find reasonable levels of selection.

INVENTORY
This chart illustrates the total number of homes in the ILHM sample each week. These are homes on the market for at least $500,000 in the top 10 zip codes for 31 major metro markets around the county.

DAYS ON MARKET (DOM)
The properties have been on the market for an average of 148 days.



LUXURY BY REGION
A look at the local luxury markets around the country.